
Poll Analysis: A Surge in Black Voter Support for Trump
Two prominent psephologists cautioned that some high polling results for Donald Trump among Black voters were
Two prominent psephologists cautioned that some high polling results for Donald Trump among Black voters were "quirky," given the smaller sample sizes in individual polls, and emphasized the importance of aggregating such polls, ten as a minimum, for a more accurate assessment.
Finding no such research available, I undertook what is, I believe, the first such analysis of the cumulative data from 17 current polls with a subset of Black voters, which revealed a striking, if not historical shift in Black voting preferences toward the Republican Party, and particularly to Donald Trump.