Iran, the next war.

Iran or it's proxies have been harming Americans since 1979.
I think President Trump will find a way to work with the Iranian people a pro-American ayatollah for a "regime mutation" that's favourable to american interests instead of an old-school regime change that could blowback...Do you have any thoughts on that?
 
I agree Iran was "days away" from a nuclear weapon and was intending to harm Americans, which makes the war coherent with the U.N. Charter. Also, right off the bat, I see President Trump doing a good effort to keep the use of force to the minimum necessary.
We bombed their nuclear facilities last year where they were enriching uranium how were they days away?
 
NEW: Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO)
is refusing to back the Pentagon's request for $200 billion in supplemental funding amid the operation in Iran.

"I am so tired of spending money elsewhere. I am tired of the industrial war complex getting all of our hard-earned tax dollars," Rep. Boebert told CNN on Thursday.
 
Excuse me for electing not to choose my ethics or international policy from the false dichotomy of one of the greatest philanderers ever to grace the office of president, and a man who despised the Bible and much of organized Christianity.
So now the president's morality matters to you. 🤔


😉
 
The history of our Iranian problem goes back well before 1979. To stop there is to ignore our part in creating the mess.
 
We bombed their nuclear facilities last year where they were enriching uranium how were they days away?
That's what the POTUS said! Scientifically, to the best of my understanding, what the POTUS is saying makes sense...This is war. In warfare, bluffing is a mandate in Sun Tzu's The Art of War. I'm going to give you something: you can believe Trump makes mistakes, you can side with other people, heck you can even just refuse to have an opinion about the man, but I choose to see President Trump’s role in politics as part of a good God’s plan to protect good people from harmful influences. Part of my POV can be defended by using logic, data analyisis, science and readily available information from mainstream sources, another part you must choose a side and I choose Trump-led Washington, after prayerful discernment!
 
I think President Trump will find a way to work with the Iranian people a pro-American ayatollah for a "regime mutation" that's favourable to american interests instead of an old-school regime change that could blowback...Do you have any thoughts on that?

An ayatollah is the highest-ranking cleric of Twelver Shi'a Islam. I'm not sure that a "pro-American ayatollah" can actually exist, and in any case, it seems inimical to American interests to install yet another sectarian Islamic dictator.

By contrast, Reza Pahlavi, the son of the deposed Shah, has advocated for transitioning to a secular, democratic republic, but letting the Iranians decide by referendum what kind of government they want. From what I've seen on the news and social media, it doesn't appear to me like they would choose to go back to the Islamic Republic and being ruled by the mullahs. My understanding is that a significant majority of Iranians are in favour of a secular government, and only around a third are actually devout Shi'a. Theoretically, if all the mosques and imams vanished overnight, it would have a more devastating impact on the state than the citizenry.
 
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That's what the POTUS said! Scientifically, to the best of my understanding, what the POTUS is saying makes sense...This is war. In warfare, bluffing is a mandate in Sun Tzu's The Art of War. I'm going to give you something: you can believe Trump makes mistakes, you can side with other people, heck you can even just refuse to have an opinion about the man, but I choose to see President Trump’s role in politics as part of a good God’s plan to protect good people from harmful influences. Part of my POV can be defended by using logic, data analyisis, science and readily available information from mainstream sources, another part you must choose a side and I choose Trump-led Washington, after prayerful discernment!
mainstream sources, like Fox News?
 
An ayatollah is the highest-ranking cleric of Twelver Shi'a Islam. I'm not sure that a "pro-American ayatollah" can actually exist, and in any case, it seems inimical to American interests to install yet another sectarian Islamic dictator.

By contrast, Reza Pahlavi, the son of the deposed Shah, has advocated for transitioning to a secular, democratic republic, but letting the Iranians decide by referendum what kind of government they want. From what I've seen on the news and social media, it doesn't appear to me like they would choose to go back to the Islamic Republic and being ruled by the mullahs. My understanding is that a significant majority of Iranians are in favour of a secular government, and only around a third are actually devout Shi'a. Theoretically, if all the mosques and imams vanished overnight, it would have a more devastating impact on the state than the citizenry.
That's the gist of the issue. I don't see anything good coming from imposing (which I don't even think is possible, anyways) a departure from clerical rule in Iran. Because you're correct in pointing out that a return to Shah-rule has a simple majority in Iran. But clerical rule has a relative majority when you think about it in sectors rather than individuals which is something here in the West we see all the time. An example would be Bush vs Gore: Bush's legitimacy rested on proportional vs individual representation because urban middle classes tend to be numerous, but we need other sectors: clergy, millitary, farmers, the rich, the poor...So a referendum could be seen as "tyranny of majority" which is why for good constructive engagement between the West and the Islamic World I'm betting on progressive islamic clergy in Iran. Mahmoud Amjad is an exiled ayatollah which could influence. So, progressive clergy: a bridge between progressive urban elites and middle classes who want change and rural backbones of the deceased Ayatollah. Some hardline supporters of the deceased ayatollah would refuse to listen to the gay lawyer from Tehran, but the young Rūḥānī from Isfahan who's a closet Sorush fan talking about God and money while avoiding frontal confrontation with the millitary (it's an art, being progressive clergy in a dictatorship without getting in too much trouble...) would be given hospitality. Iran isn't Venezuela, but as soon as Washington realized the chavistas weren't going anywhere for the timebeing, but that a regime "mutation" can be induced without excessive externalities nor blowback, things started changing with current acting President Delcy Rodriguez. I like avoiding "epistemic pride" when engaging in the study of International Relations. Some things which seem completely natural for us as westerners, we need to understand people from other cultures are just different. Some americans get a heart attack when they see Danish taxation, but polling consistently shows that about 7 out of every 10 danes are "satisfied" with paying around 45%–50% in total tax, provided goverment services remain top-tier. This is something I just need to keep bringing on: world peace requieres that we put ourselves in the other people's shoes. White people don't even get along with each other: if you want to try my theory, just yell "Basque people are awesome!" at a regular pub in Madrid or "Quebéc is a nation!" in Toronto or "Texas is better than California" anywhere in the USA. Once we understand what makes us different, and that sometimes you just have to order pineapple ham pizza when some friends come over because they like it and there's nothing "wrong" with it, we can move forward better.
 
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mainstream sources, like Fox News?
Why are you assuming I favor Fox News over BBC, The Guardian and AlJazeera? For the record, my go to news source for domestic issues in the US is usually USA Today and American Broadcasting Company. Yahoo! news and AOL news too, but that's just habit...
 
No joke - HR 867 would have established penalties of up to 20 years in prison and a $1,000,000 fine for Americans who support boycotting Israel. It appears that the bill was never actually voted on. For now it is not under consideration but it could be brought up in the future. Marjorie Taylor Greene and Matt Gaetz, who opposed the bill, are no longer in Congress.



"A sweeping pro-Israel bill backed by Republican leadership and AIPAC collapsed this week after a rare revolt by right-wing lawmakers who argued it posed a direct threat to Americans’ First Amendment rights.

"The bill, H.R. 867 — known as the IGO Anti-Boycott Act — would have imposed up to $1 million in fines and prison terms of up to 20 years on Americans who support international boycotts of Israel, even those led by the United Nations.

"The bill had been scheduled for a vote Monday but was abruptly pulled from the House calendar following backlash from a broad coalition of critics, including the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) and conservative firebrands like Rep. Thomas Massie, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, and Rep. Matt Gaetz. . . .

"While H.R. 867 has been shelved for now, it is not dead. The bill remains alive in committee and may return in revised form."
 
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Why we fight:

State Dept. lashes out after insiders reveal who motivated Trump to launch Iran war: report​


"Speaking with Bloomberg on the condition of anonymity, the insiders claimed that Trump was under pressure to strike Iran from at least two individuals outside his administration: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu – who’s wanted by the International Court of Justice for alleged war crimes – and Rupert Murdoch, the billionaire conservative media mogul and architect of Fox News."

 
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